btt²©ÌìÌÃ

·çµç¹â·ü³É±¾²»ÐݽµÂä ÖúÁ¦´¢ÄÜÊг¡·¢Õ¹
2019-08-07

ƾ¾ÝÅí²©ÐÂÄÜÔ´(BNEF)µÄ×îÐÂÔ¤²â£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬2020Ä꣬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬È«Çò´¢ÄܹæÄ£Ô¤¼ÆÎª9GW/17GWh£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÑÇÌ«µØÓòµÄ´¢ÄÜ×°»úÈÝÁ¿½«Õ¼È«Çò×ÜÁ¿µÄ45%×óÓÒ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Å·ÖÞ¡¢Öж«¡¢·ÇÖÞ×°»úÁ¿×ܼƽ«Õ¼29%×óÓÒ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬¶øÃÀÖÞ´¢ÄÜ×°»úÁ¿Îª26%×óÓÒ¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¶øÕâ¸öÊý×Ö½«ÔÚ2040ÄêÔö³¤ÖÁ1095GW/2850GWh£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÊµÏÖ122±¶Ôö³¤£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÇÒ½ìʱ¹Ì¶¨´æ´¢ºÍµçÁ¦ÔËÊ䲿ÃÅ¶Ôµç³ØµÄ×ÜÐèÒªÔ¤¼Æ½«´ïµ½4584GWh¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£

ÔÚ½«À´20ÄêÄÚ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬122±¶Ôö³¤µÄ´¢ÄÜÔö³¤½«±ØÒª6620ÒÚÃÀÔªµÄͶ×Ê£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬2040ÄêµÄ´¢ÄÜͶ×ʽ«³¬¹ý400ÒÚÃÀÔª¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£È«ÇòµçÁ¦ÏµÍ³Ô½À´Ô½Êܵ½µÍ³É±¾·çÄܺÍÌ«ÑôÄܵÄÓ°Ï죬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬È«Çò´¢ÄÜ×°»úÈÝÁ¿×îÔ罫ÔÚ2025Äê´ïµ½100GW£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬µ½2040Ä꽫´ïµ½942GW£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬²¢½«ÎüÒý1.2ÍòÒÚÃÀÔªµÄͶ×Ê¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£

ÓÉÓÚ·çµç¡¢Ì«ÑôÄܺʹ¢Äܼ¼Êõ³É±¾µÄ´ó·ù½µÂ䣬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬µ½2050ÄêÈ«Çò½üÒ»°ëµÄµçÁ¦½«ÓÉÕâÁ½ÖÖ¼±¾ç·¢Õ¹µÄ¿ÉÔÙÉúÄÜÔ´¹©¸ø¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£BNEFÔÚ2019Äê¡¶ÐÂÄÜÔ´Êг¡³Ö¾ÃÕ°Íû¡·(New Energy Outlook 2019£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬NEO)»ã±¨ÖÐÌáµ½£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÔÚÈ«ÇòԼĪÈý·ÖÖ®¶þµÄµØÓò£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬·çµç»òÌ«ÑôÄÜÒѾ­ÊÇ×îÁ®¼ÛµÄн¨µçÔ´¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£

È«ÇòµçÁ¦ÐèÒªÔ¤¼Æ½«Ôö³¤62%£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬µ¼ÖµçÁ¦×°»ú¹æÄ£ÔÚ2018ÄêÖÁ2050Äê¼äÏÕЩÔö³¤Á½±¶¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£Õ⽫´øÀ´13.3ÍòÒÚÃÀÔªÐÂͶ×Ê£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÆäÖÐÔ̺¬5.3ÍòÒÚ·çµçͶ×ʼ°4.2ÍòÒÚ¹â·üͶ×Ê¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£³ýн¨·¢µç×ʲú±í£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬8400ÒÚÃÀÔª½«Í¶Ïò´¢ÄÜ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬11.4ÍòÒÚ½«ÓÃÀ´À©½¨µçÍø»ù´¡ÉèÊ©¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£

ͨ¹ý¶ÈÎö¼¼ÊõÇ÷ÏòºÍȼÁϼÛÖµ×êÑеçÁ¦ÐÐÒµ×îµÍ³É±¾µÄ·¢Õ¹õè¾¶£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Á˾ÖÏÔʾ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÖÁ2050Ä꣬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Ãºµç·¢µçÁ¿ÔÚÈ«ÇòµçÁ¦ÏµÍ³ÖеÄÕ¼±È½«´ÓĿǰµÄ37%½µÂäµ½12%£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Óë´Ëͬʱ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Ê¯ÓÍ·¢µç½«¸ù»ùÒþû;·çµçºÍÌ«ÑôÄÜ·¢µçÁ¿µÄÕ¼±È½«´ÓĿǰµÄ7%Ôö³¤µ½48%;Ë®µç¡¢ÆøµçºÍºËµçµÄÊг¡Õ¼ÓÐÂÊ´óÌå²»±ä¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£

µçÁ¦ÏµÍ³ºÍ½»Í¨ÔËÊäÒµÔÚ²úÉúµ××ÓÐÔµÄתÐÍ¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£²»ÐݽµÂäµÄ·çÄÜ¡¢Ì«ÑôÄÜºÍµç³Ø³É±¾Òâζ×Å£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬µ½2040Ä꣬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬·çÄܺ͹â·ü·¢µçÊä³ö½«Õ¼ÊÀ½çµçÁ¦ÐèÒªµÄ½ü40%£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬¶ø´Ë¿ÌÖ»Óв»µ½7%¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£Óë´Ëͬʱ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬µ½2040ÄêµÄµç¶¯³ËÓóµ¿ÉÄÜ»áռȫÇò³ËÓóµÊг¡µÄÈý·ÖÖ®Ò»£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬¶ø´Ë¿Ì²»µ½0.5%£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÕâЩ¶¼½«¸ø´¢ÄܲúÒµ´øÀ´¾Þ´óµÄ·¢Õ¹¹æÄ£¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£

Ŀǰ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬¿ÉÔÙÉúÄÜÔ´ÓÈÆäÊǹâ·ü¼Ó´¢ÄÜ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÒѾ­ÊÇ´¢ÄܲúÒµ½¨ÉèµÄÖØÒª¶¯Á¦¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¿£¿£¿£¿£¿£¿£¿ª·¢É̺͵çÍøÖ®¼äеĺÏͬ½á¹¹³ä·ÖÅú×¢£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÐÂʱÆÚµÄ¿ÉÔÙÉúÄÜÔ´±ØÐëÊǿɵ÷¶ÈµÄ¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£´¢ÄÜͨ³£ÀûÓÃÓÚÄÜÔ´×ªÒÆ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬Í¨³£ÊÇ´ÓÌ«ÑôÄÜ΢·çÁ¦·¢µç¹ýʣʱ±ØÒªÊµÊ±½Ó¹ÜµçÍøµÄÓÐÓàµçÁ¦£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÔÚ´óÈÝÁ¿µçÁ¦ÏµÍ³Öдﵽ¶¥·å£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÒÔ¼°Îªµ«Ô¸Í¨¹ýÔڵ͵ç¼Ûʱ¶Î²É°ìµçÁ¦À´½Ú¼ó¿Í»§ÄÜÔ´Óöȡ£¡£¡£¡£¡£·ÖÎöÅú×¢£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬ÔÚÔ½À´Ô½¶àµÄÀûÓÃÖн«Ê¹Óøü±ãÒ˵Ĵ¢ÄÜÉ豸¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£

Êг¡ÒÔΪ£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬±ØÒªÍ¨¹ý´¢ÄÜÀ´Æ½ºâµçÁ¦ÏµÍ³Öиü¸ß±ÈÀýµÄ²»²»±äµÄ¿ÉÔÙÉúÄÜÔ´·¢µç£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬´¢Äܽ«³ÉΪн¨·¢µç»òµçÍø¼ÓÇ¿µÄÒ»ÖÖʵÓôúÌæ¹æ»®¡£¡£¡£¡£¡£¶ø¶Ô´¢ÄÜÓйØÉ豸µÄÐèÒª£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬£¬½«¸ø²úÒµ´øÀ´³ÁÒª³É³¤»úÓö¡£¡£¡£¡£¡££¨ÎÄÕÂÆðÔ´£ºÖйúÄÜÔ´Íø£©

ÍÆ¼öÐÂÎÅ
¡¾ÍøÕ¾µØÍ¼¡¿¡¾sitemap¡¿